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CCM-006Sep 2025TBO forecast

Predicting time between overhauls

Time-based planning said 25% ring life left. Condition-based forecasting said 74.5%, with replacement due in July 2027.

VesselMerchant vessel
EngineTwo-stroke main engine
PublishedSep 2025
74.5%ring life left, condition-based
25.1%ring life left, time-based
16,301running hours left

The pattern

Overhauls are often scheduled strictly by PMS or maker intervals. That is safe, but it replaces pistons, rings and liners early.

Wear & Forecast module

CCM combines visual wear cues, drain-oil trends (Fe/BN), feed-rate history, load profile and liner geometry to predict remaining ring life. The model corrects itself every month as new reports arrive.

CCM Avg: theory meets reality

CCM also benchmarks how long rings and liners actually last across fleets before replacement. Correlating predicted life with observed service life gives a reliable basis for planning overhauls.

Liner calibration heatmap
Liner calibration heatmap
Ring pack condition
Ring pack condition

Has your fleet seen something similar?

Talk to a CCM engineer